Gold’s price action this week has provided a few big shifts with its sell off towards the end of the week. Gold has now confirmed its right hand shoulder of a Head & Shoulder pattern, while simultaneously breaking its uptrend line which commenced in Nov / Dec 18.
The price action has also formed a lower low & lower high, which I covered last week to members. The final confirmation for a Head & Shoulders formation, which is a breach of its neckline / support level, appears to be a high probability event going forward. Whether this occurs this coming trading week or the next, Gold is looking likely to breach its major support at $1,280 & head back to longer term uptrend line shown around $1,240 - $1,260.
When you consider that the market today is now pricing a 76% chance of a rate cut in 2019, the price action of Gold relative to the future Fed funds rate direction is at odds. However the market is always right & we have to respect the price action currently being shown by Gold.
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