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Is Google Preparing For A Breakout Higher Or A Triple Top Reversal?

7/30/2019

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Google recently released its Q2 earnings to the market and looking at the monthly charts of its parent company Alphabet, the market appears quite happy with the most recent earnings results. The monthly chart only has a few trading days left to complete, with the current price action as of last Friday the 26th of July, Google is currently showing a breakout pattern above $1,227 resistance.
 
Considering that Google has been consolidating in a sideways pattern since early 2018, if Google can close above $1,227 for the monthly this will be a significant milestone for shareholders. The one important red flag with potential breakout pattern, is that volume for Alphabet is below its average monthly volume. There is another three trading days left of trading to increase volume levels, but given the earnings release and close to the end of the month you would like the volume to much higher to go along with this breakout potential.
 
On the bullish case if we do see a breakout pattern completed, we have a potential target of approximately $1,490-$1,500 resistance area on the monthly charts, which is based on the average distance away from the 52 month moving average that Google price action normally trades away from. Since those levels if achieved would be new all-time record highs, this is the only suitable method of targeting ahead.

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The bearish case if Google price action was to fall back below $1,227 level by the end of July 19, then we would of have achieved a triple top resistance pattern. Which based on history would mean we would see a likely target back to $1020 support area, which would also mean that its long-term uptrend line would of also been breached if this was to be achieved.
 
Given the index weighting of both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Indices, the likely success or failure of Google's price action is likely to have a decent impact on these two indices over the coming months.

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